Wednesday, July 1, 2026

On Canada Day, Trump refuses to renew USCM trade pact he once championed as his signature deal

July 1st, 2026

Despite pressure to renew it, Trump and US officials have chosen to keep the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) under strict conditions of annual reviews rather than committing to another long-term renewal. The deadline for the three countries to decide the future of the trade pact was this Wednesday, Canada Day, a decision built into the USMCA that is set to expire in 2036.


Following virtual discussions among officials from the United States, Mexico, and Canada, the US Trade Representative’s office announced that Washington had opted not to renew the deal under its current terms, citing ongoing trade deficits with both neighboring countries.

However, the deal is not dead. Trump’s refusal to renew the USMCA does not terminate the agreement outright. It will remain in effect while negotiations continue, but now it will face a review every year instead of every six years as originally planned. If the deal can withstand this scrutiny until 2028, the political landscape may change significantly with Trump no longer in office.

A senior administration official, speaking to reporters about the decision, stated that Trump had “chosen not to rubber stamp a USMCA renewal without addressing existing issues.” The official added, “So, in other words, the United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form. Therefore, the USMCA is not renewed.”

In a statement, Jamieson Greer, the US Trade Representative, indicated that the US would “continue to engage with Mexico and Canada to address the Agreement’s shortcomings.”

During a press conference on Wednesday, Mexico’s Economy Minister, Marcelo Ebrard, expressed his government’s willingness to tackle the issues raised by the US regarding foreign dependence. “There is no difference that I can identify between Mexico, the United States, and Canada that is so significant we cannot resolve it,” he said, according to Reuters.

In recent months, Trump has frequently criticized the USMCA, even threatening to withdraw from it last month. He stated, “We don’t need anything that Canada has. We don’t need anything that Mexico has, but they need everything that we have. And they have to treat us better,” during a press conference in the Oval Office. If this is true, then why does he refer to Canada as his 51st state? It's just another misleading statement from Trump, which is what we might expect from the “King of Liars.” Interestingly, Trump negotiated the deal during his first term in 2020 and described the USMCA at that time as “the fairest, most balanced, and beneficial trade agreement we have ever signed into law.”

The shift to annual reviews creates uncertainty for businesses that depend on the USMCA and could hinder investments across North America. Currently, the agreement facilitates about $2 trillion annually in goods and services exchanged among the three countries, according to CNBC.

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