What a U.S. Military Strike Would and Would Not Achieve
Andrew P. Miller, January 15, 2026ANDREW P. MILLER is a Senior Fellow in National Security and International Policy at the Center for American Progress. He was Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Israeli-Palestinian Affairs in the Biden administration and Director for Egypt and Israel Military Issues on the National Security Council in the Obama administration.
Over two weeks into wide-scale protests against the Islamic Republic regime in Iran, the death toll and number of arrests are rapidly mounting. Iranian human rights organizations place the number of dead at 2,500, while other sources suggest it may exceed 10,000. Needless to say, the Iranian people have displayed remarkable bravery in challenging an authoritarian government that still retains immense repressive power. And by emboldening Iranians to turn out by repeatedly raising the prospect of U.S. military intervention to defend Iranian demonstrators, U.S. President Donald Trump is implicated as well in the outcome of the protests.